Will both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Republican Party?

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 3¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.4pp shift. Resolution depends on nato — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: nato.
• Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.