The market moved
+7.3ppin 24h · now 8¢
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be at least 6.1%?
Macro · resolves Jul 16 · vol $17.01
Why
Probability rose decisively up to 8¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 7.3pp shift. Resolution depends on gdp release — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: GDP release — https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.