The market moved
-4.0ppin 24h · now 2¢
Will Donald Trump dance on May 18, 2026?
Politics · resolves May 31 · vol $2.5K
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 2¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 4.0pp shift. Resolution depends on video footage — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: video footage.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.