The market moved

-23.5ppin 24h · now 26¢

Will Gracie Abrams have a #1 hit in May?

Other · resolves May 31 · vol $46.43

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 26¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 23.5pp shift. Resolution depends on open.spotify.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: open.spotify.com — https://open.spotify.com/playlist/37i9dQZEVXbMDoHDwVN2tF.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.