The market moved

+6.5ppin 24h · now 23¢

Will James Clapper be arrested before 2027?

Politics · open · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose decisively up to 23¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 6.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
+6.5pp · Will James Clapper be arrested before 2027? | Orrery