The market moved

-2.6ppin 24h · now

Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between June 6 and June 12?

Politics · resolves Jul 3 · vol $2.5K

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 2.6pp shift. Resolution depends on federal reserve — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Federal Reserve.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
-2.6pp · Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair between June 6 and June 12? | Orrery