The market moved

+12.0ppin 24h · now 88¢

Will Jimmy Gomez advance from the CA-34 primary election?

Politics · resolves Jun 2 · vol $62.63

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 88¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 12.0pp shift. Resolution depends on sos.ca.gov — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: sos.ca.gov — https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
+12.0pp · Will Jimmy Gomez advance from the CA-34 primary election? | Orrery