The market moved
-9.0ppin 24h · now 7¢
Will Mark Kotsay win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year?
Sports · resolves Dec 19 · vol $105.42
Why
Probability fell decisively down to 7¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 9.0pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.