The market moved
-0.1ppin 24h · now 36¢
Will Seattle have between 2.5 and 3 inches of precipitation in May?
Other · resolves May 31 · vol $21.58
Why
Probability fell slightly down to 36¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.1pp shift. Resolution depends on to the total precipitation in inches in seattle between may 1 and may 31, 2026, 11:59pm et according to the national oce — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between May 1 and May 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oce — https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.