The market moved
-36.5ppin 24h · now 50¢
Will Secret Whales qualify for EWC 2026?
Sports · resolves May 20 · vol $121.56
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 50¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 36.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://esportsworldcup.com/).
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 32.5h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.