The market moved
+4.5ppin 24h · now 87¢
Will "Smoke" be said 100+ times during the IEM Atlanta 2026 Grand Finals?
Sports · resolves May 17 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose modestly up to 87¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 4.5pp shift. Resolution depends on @eslcs — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: @ESLCS — https://www.youtube.com/@ESLCS.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 4.5h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.