The market moved
-10.5ppin 24h · now 67¢
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?
Sports · resolves May 22 · vol $5.3K
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 67¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 10.5pp shift. Resolution depends on youtube.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: youtube.com — https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX).
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.