The market moved

+4.7ppin 24h · now

Will "THE BIRTHDAY PARTY by Léa MYSIUS" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?

Entertainment · resolves May 23 · vol $37.87

Why

Probability rose modestly up to 7¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 4.7pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://www.festival-cannes.com/en/live/).
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.