The market moved
-1.9ppin 24h · now 1¢
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
Macro · resolves Sep 16 · vol $5.00
Why
Probability fell slightly down to 1¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 1.9pp shift. Resolution depends on federal reserve — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Federal Reserve — https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.