Will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be less than $1,228,000 on May 31?

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 21¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 3.0pp shift. Resolution depends on to the median home value for all property types in the san francisco metro area on may 31, 2026 — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on May 31, 2026 — https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/36).
• Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.