Will the median home value in the US be between $438,000 and $440,000 on May 31?

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 15¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 1.0pp shift. Resolution depends on to the median home value for all property types in the united states on may 31, 2026 — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: to the median home value for all property types in the United States on May 31, 2026 — https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/33).
• Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.