The market moved

-0.1ppin 24h · now

Will "The Proposal" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

Entertainment · resolves May 19 · vol $362.25

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.1pp shift. Resolution depends on which movie this update ranks as the #2 netflix movie in the united states — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: which movie this update ranks as the #2 Netflix movie in the United States.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 5.5h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.