The market moved

+4.5ppin 24h · now

Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie have the best domestic opening week in 2026?

Entertainment · resolves Dec 31 · vol $75.97

Why

Probability rose modestly up to 8¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 4.5pp shift. Resolution depends on to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026 — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026 — https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office.
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
+4.5pp · Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie have the best domestic opening week in 2026? | Orrery