The market moved
-12.5ppin 24h · now 1¢
Will the total number of TSA passengers for May 11 - May 17 be between 17,000,000 and 17,500,000?
Other · resolves May 17 · vol $28.33
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 1¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 12.5pp shift. Resolution depends on tsa.gov — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
Resolution status: proposed — verify before treating this as news.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: tsa.gov — https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- UMA resolution status is "proposed". Source-risk is non-trivial — a move that unwinds on settlement isn't really news.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.