Will the total number of TSA passengers for May 11 - May 17 be between 18,000,000 and 18,500,000?

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 53.4pp shift. Resolution depends on tsa.gov — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

Resolution status: proposed — verify before treating this as news.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: tsa.gov — https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes.
• Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
• UMA resolution status is "proposed". Source-risk is non-trivial — a move that unwinds on settlement isn't really news.