The market moved

+2.5ppin 24h · now 65¢

Will the White House Press Secretary say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during the next White House Press Briefing?

Geopolitics · resolves May 31 · vol $9.16

Why

Probability rose modestly up to 65¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 2.5pp shift. Resolution depends on white house — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: White House — https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/).
  • Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.
+2.5pp · Will the White House Press Secretary say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during the next White House Press Briefing? | Orrery