The market moved
-22.9ppin 24h · now 5¢
Will "Two Strangers (Carry a Cake Across New York)" win Best Book of a Musical at the 2026 Tony Awards?
Sports · resolves Jun 7 · vol $522.44
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 5¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 22.9pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://www.tonyawards.com/).
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.