The market moved
-7.5ppin 24h · now 68¢
Will Zach Dembo be the Democratic Nominee for KY-06?
Politics · resolves May 19 · vol $26.50
Why
Probability fell decisively down to 68¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 7.5pp shift. Resolution depends on to the candidate who wins the nomination for the democratic party to contest the ky-06 congressional district seat in th — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the KY-06 congressional district seat in th — https://democrats.org/.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 9.1h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.