The market moved
+11.0ppin 24h · now 90¢
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 18?
Macro · resolves May 18 · vol $5.26
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 90¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 11.0pp shift. Resolution depends on pyth futures price feed — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Pyth futures price feed — https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI.
- Read recent whale flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 18.9h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.