Orrery Pulse

Will the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 4% and 6%?

2% current
7D range
1-19%
Net move
+0.6pp
24h volume
$20
7 day implied probability chart
May 1150% decision lineMay 18

Shareable snapshot generated from public Polymarket CLOB history.