Vital-License
0x002dc150a00bb1d617b6dcc0f7a45e4fe72247a2
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$213.97
Total PnL
$-151.43
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Trump say "Venezuela" during cabinet meeting?
50 shares @ 80.0¢·now 71.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$35.50
$-4.50
- YES
Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?
50 shares @ 84.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$32.75
$-9.25
- NO
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
50 shares @ 71.0¢·now 59.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$29.50
$-6.00
- YES
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
50 shares @ 65.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$27.75
$-4.75
- NO
Will Sonos (SONO) beat quarterly earnings?
50 shares @ 59.0¢·now 49.1¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$24.57
$-4.92
- NO
Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings?
50 shares @ 38.0¢·now 31.0¢·exp Aug 6, 2026$15.50
$-3.50
- NO
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
50 shares @ 41.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Nov 30, 2026$14.24
$-6.25
- YES
Will PH win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?
50 shares @ 34.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$12.75
$-4.25
- NO
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
50 shares @ 76.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$11.25
$-26.75
- NO
Will HBO Max win the most Emmys?
20 shares @ 62.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Sep 14, 2026$6.30
$-6.10
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Worker" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$34.50Jul 28, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Worker" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$34.50Jul 28, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?$42.00Jul 28, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?$20.50Jul 28, 13:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?$7.13Jul 28, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026?$7.37Jul 28, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Venezuela" during cabinet meeting?$40.00Jul 28, 12:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on July 29?$12.40Jul 28, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on July 29?$12.40Jul 28, 12:00 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the August 2026 meeting?$4.78Jul 28, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the August 2026 meeting?$7.50Jul 28, 06:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?$6.97Jul 28, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?$8.20Jul 28, 02:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Sister" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$15.46Jul 28, 02:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?$18.53Jul 28, 02:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spirit Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?$23.92Jul 28, 02:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?$20.02Jul 28, 02:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$26.33Jul 28, 02:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spirit Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?$1.00Jul 28, 02:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?$50.00Jul 28, 02:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $18.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 12:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 18:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.