Knowledgeable-Baseboard
0x00356bdf41badf724902ddf99f1c470043426e64
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
145
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$65.63
Win rate
73%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 145- YES
Will the Desiya Murpokku Dravida Kazhagam (DMDK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?
4955 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.77
- NIP
Counter-Strike: B8 vs NIP (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group B
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- CYBERSHOKE PROSPECTS
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Prospects vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stage
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?
400 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET
283 shares @ 12.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-34.75
- NO
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?
250 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-22.42
- NO
Will the next Google Gemini model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET
150 shares @ 56.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-85.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$2.59Jul 29, 11:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$0.00Jul 29, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$17.07Jul 29, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$2.75Jul 29, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$2.75Jul 29, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$16.50Jul 29, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$0.01Jul 29, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$2.17Jul 29, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$13.75Jul 29, 06:01 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$45.40Jul 29, 05:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$50.90Jul 29, 05:57 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET$0.84Jul 29, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET$2.73Jul 29, 05:31 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$5.73Jul 29, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$5.27Jul 29, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$2.50Jul 28, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$2.50Jul 28, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$2.50Jul 28, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$2.50Jul 28, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$2.50Jul 28, 12:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
33/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
73% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 39/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $11.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 17:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 11:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.