Exciting-Overheard
0x003bf49e4491212f997d86ab987551170cc61ebe
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$836.25
Total PnL
$-333.53
Realised
$-8.27
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
565 shares @ 19.5¢·now 73.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$413.79
$303.43
- NO
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?
265 shares @ 37.7¢·now 48.2¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$127.79
$27.80
- NO
Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?
232 shares @ 41.0¢·now 31.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$72.04
$-23.24
- NO
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?
73 shares @ 85.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$64.91
$3.26
- NO
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?
97 shares @ 67.0¢·now 51.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$49.63
$-15.57
- YES
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?
409 shares @ 17.4¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$30.64
$-40.32
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
103 shares @ 60.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$28.29
$-33.43
- YES
Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch?
48 shares @ 53.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$28.21
$2.65
- YES
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?
26 shares @ 68.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$18.30
$0.90
- YES
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?
12 shares @ 7.0¢·now 12.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.50
$0.62
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLFed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?$25.02Jun 12, 12:38 UTC
- REDEEMMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$35.36Jun 12, 07:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?$164.35Jun 12, 07:41 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLInk FDV above $500M one day after launch?$85.98Apr 28, 06:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill UAE strike Iran by April 30?$11.08Apr 27, 14:15 UTC
- TRADESELLMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$19.63Apr 27, 05:10 UTC
- TRADESELLMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$0.96Apr 25, 09:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $24.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 17, 15:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.