Anchored-Mayonnaise
0x00538f4166898b8a9da197ffe0522f6f90e9b066
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$304.42
Total PnL
$-128.37
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027?
140 shares @ 23.8¢·now 51.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$71.39
$38.00
- NO
Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch?
150 shares @ 36.0¢·now 43.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$64.50
$10.50
- NO
Pharos FDV above $1B one day after launch?
50 shares @ 51.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$50.00
$24.10
- NO
Will Theo launch a token by September 30 2026?
56 shares @ 24.6¢·now 83.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$46.73
$32.87
- NO
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?
50 shares @ 57.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$33.75
$5.25
- NO
StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch?
50 shares @ 64.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$22.75
$-9.25
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?
50 shares @ 54.0¢·now 27.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$13.50
$-13.50
- YES
Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 31.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.79
$0.81
- NO
Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?
1500 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.90
- NO
Genius FDV above $80M one day after launch?
120 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$0.00
$-15.60
Recent activity
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - July 25, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$0.00Jul 26, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 25, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$16.00Jul 26, 01:59 UTC
- REDEEMOver $35M committed to the RipCars public sale?$79.99Jul 25, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $35M committed to the RipCars public sale?$8.80Jul 22, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $35M committed to the RipCars public sale?$8.16Jul 22, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $35M committed to the RipCars public sale?$32.63Jul 22, 15:20 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on July 19?$48.78Jul 19, 10:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on July 19?$14.44Jul 19, 10:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on July 19?$1.96Jul 19, 10:29 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on July 19?$6.00Jul 19, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 19?$71.75Jul 19, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $30M committed to the Credible public sale?$10.40Jul 17, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $30M committed to the Credible public sale?$3.08Jul 17, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $30M committed to the Credible public sale?$7.42Jul 17, 12:56 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $30M committed to the Credible public sale?$82.33Jul 15, 14:27 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $30M committed to the Credible public sale?$6.67Jul 15, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYTheo FDV above $100M one day after launch?$54.00Jul 12, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $30M committed to the Credible public sale?$41.00Jul 11, 16:45 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 10, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$41.80Jul 11, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 10, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$21.40Jul 11, 02:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $16.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 2, 22:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 26, 04:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.