Jam-Packed-Calm
0x0076fff3def0069380fe6b7361387a3e827b1f36
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
36
Open notional
$2.1K
Total PnL
$-922.39
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- YES
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?
19644 shares @ 13.6¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.1K
$-604.26
- YES
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 16?
1676 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-66.00
- YES
Will PMF or Die build a $1m business in 90 days?
1079 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 100–124 times May 2–9?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will 'Thunderbolts' gross less than $67m on opening weekend?
924 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- NO
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by August 31?
518 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 125–149 times May 2–9?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Ethereum all time high in May?
498 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will 'Thunderbolts' gross between $67m and 72m on opening weekend?
411 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $81000 and $83000 on Apr 25?
394 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2025$0.00
$-2.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?$77.90Jul 27, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?$104.36Jul 21, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?$104.35Jul 19, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?$104.32Jul 18, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by August 31?$20.00Jul 16, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance AND Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? AND Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?$24.93Jul 16, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: Will the Match Go to Extra Time? AND France vs. England: Team to Win AND Will England win on 2026-07-18? AND England to score first vs. France?$24.93Jul 16, 07:25 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$10.00Jul 9, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?$104.35Jul 3, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?$208.60Jun 30, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.0KJun 28, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?$730.88Jun 28, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?$38.04Mar 16, 13:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$38.04Mar 16, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?$38.44Mar 16, 09:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?$38.44Mar 16, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?$43.07Mar 16, 09:41 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by end of 2026?$21.08Mar 16, 09:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the March decision?$21.96Mar 16, 09:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 16, 00:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $135.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 16, 16:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 27, 11:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.