Dizzy-Dissemination
0x009f4eb8aa4d075b734289c64739a7ad086af7ab
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$59.71
Total PnL
$-59.33
Realised
$-1.80
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 30?
8 shares @ 94.7¢·now 97.8¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$7.82
$0.24
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 1?
8 shares @ 94.9¢·now 96.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$7.72
$0.13
- YES
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the August 2026 meeting?
8 shares @ 95.0¢·now 96.3¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$7.70
$0.10
- YES
Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?
8 shares @ 95.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$7.56
$-0.04
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 4?
8 shares @ 92.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$7.44
$0.08
- YES
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
8 shares @ 94.4¢·now 92.8¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$7.43
$-0.12
- YES
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?
8 shares @ 95.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$7.20
$-0.40
- YES
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?
8 shares @ 92.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$6.84
$-0.52
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on June 30?
607 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-23.07
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 27?
227 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-14.88
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 4?$7.40Jul 29, 06:34 UTC
- TRADESELLVancouver: Yeon-Woo Ku vs Emma Dong$2.60Jul 29, 06:03 UTC
- TRADESELLVancouver: Yeon-Woo Ku vs Emma Dong$1.52Jul 29, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYVancouver: Yeon-Woo Ku vs Emma Dong$7.52Jul 29, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?$7.57Jul 29, 05:29 UTC
- REDEEMLos Cabos Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Corentin Moutet$8.00Jul 29, 05:19 UTC
- REDEEMMilwaukee Brewers vs. San Francisco Giants$8.00Jul 29, 05:08 UTC
- REDEEMVancouver: Harriet Dart vs Kayla Cross$8.00Jul 29, 05:03 UTC
- REDEEMThe Memphis Classic: Renata Zarazua vs McCartney Kessler$8.00Jul 29, 04:43 UTC
- TRADESELLSeattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$3.98Jul 29, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYLos Cabos Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Corentin Moutet$7.44Jul 29, 04:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$7.54Jul 29, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYVancouver: Harriet Dart vs Kayla Cross$7.31Jul 29, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYThe Memphis Classic: Renata Zarazua vs McCartney Kessler$7.47Jul 29, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilwaukee Brewers vs. San Francisco Giants$5.99Jul 29, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilwaukee Brewers vs. San Francisco Giants$1.61Jul 29, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?$7.62Jul 29, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the August 2026 meeting?$7.62Jul 29, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 1?$7.62Jul 29, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 30?$7.60Jul 28, 14:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
16/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $5.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 26, 04:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 06:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.