Instructive-Coincidence
0x00e58544dde192f273c78485c7af71820c9ace60
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$385.11
Total PnL
$-24.61
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?
126 shares @ 79.3¢·now 72.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$91.20
$-8.80
- NO
Will Indonesia recognize Israel by December 31?
92 shares @ 87.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$79.54
$-0.46
- NO
Will Qatar recognize Israel by December 31?
82 shares @ 85.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$69.59
$-0.41
- NO
Will Cuba recognize Israel by December 31?
67 shares @ 89.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$59.66
$-0.34
- NO
Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?
36 shares @ 92.6¢·now 96.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$34.22
$1.27
- NO
Will North Korea recognize Israel by December 31?
21 shares @ 94.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.89
$-0.11
- NO
Will Iran recognize Israel by December 31?
17 shares @ 92.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.78
$-0.09
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
5 shares @ 96.2¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.09
$0.09
- NO
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
67 shares @ 30.0¢·now 6.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.50
$-15.50
- NO
US recession by end of 2026?
6 shares @ 71.0¢·now 79.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$4.45
$0.45
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Iran recognize Israel by December 31?$15.87Jun 3, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Indonesia recognize Israel by December 31?$80.00Jun 3, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar recognize Israel by December 31?$70.00Jun 3, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cuba recognize Israel by December 31?$60.00Jun 3, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill North Korea recognize Israel by December 31?$20.00Jun 3, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?$100.00Jun 3, 08:59 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$345.87Jun 2, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$118.73Jun 1, 16:40 UTC
- REDEEMIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?$106.38Jun 1, 07:02 UTC
- REDEEMUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$12.35Jun 1, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel annex any territory by June 30?$20.95May 14, 11:24 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$20.95May 12, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$199.78May 11, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?$100.00May 11, 18:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$299.79May 1, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$10.80Apr 22, 17:17 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$0.00Apr 22, 17:17 UTC
- REDEEMIran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?$10.45Apr 22, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$124.00Apr 19, 09:04 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 16, 2026?$124.36Apr 17, 10:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $52.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 8, 19:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 09:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".