Inexperienced-Spyglass
0x013462d8dd58081052fd01c9aee31fa7aea1a4b4
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$409.80
Total PnL
$-3.10
Realised
$-1.23
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $10 in July?
374 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$373.61
$0.19
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?
14 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$14.00
$0.01
- YES
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
11 shares @ 37.2¢·now 51.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.58
$1.58
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
2 shares @ 97.2¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.36
$0.06
- NO
Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $512,000 and $518,000 on September 30?
3 shares @ 99.8¢·now 82.1¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$2.21
$-0.48
- NO
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
2 shares @ 97.8¢·now 97.7¢·exp Feb 28, 2027$2.00
$-0.00
- NO
Will KT Rolster win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
2 shares @ 98.4¢·now 96.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.97
$-0.03
- NO
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?
2 shares @ 97.9¢·now 98.4¢·exp Sep 6, 2026$1.51
$0.01
- NO
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
1 shares @ 89.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.38
$0.14
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$1.21
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?$13.99Jul 28, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $10 in July?$373.43Jul 26, 13:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on July 25?$1.61Jul 25, 16:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 25, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill anyone say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Big Brother E8?$1.03Jul 24, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on July 25?$1.60Jul 24, 05:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thorsten Frei be the next leader of the German Union (CDU/CSU)?$1.00Jul 24, 05:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Big Brother E8?$1.00Jul 24, 05:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?$373.25Jul 24, 05:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 24, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on July 22?$1.01Jul 23, 08:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 23, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the earnings call not air?$3.01Jul 22, 23:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 22, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Jul 21, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?$374.34Jul 21, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the earnings call not air?$3.00Jul 21, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the median home value in the DC Metro be between $512,000 and $518,000 on September 30?$2.69Jul 21, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on July 22?$1.00Jul 21, 22:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?$379.28Jul 21, 22:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $64.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 14, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 18:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.