Spirited-Vicinity
0x013553f395d2b49dfb2f012b7278964e7f16e8d1
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$71.23
Total PnL
$-37.14
Realised
$-7.57
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on May 16?
11 shares @ 89.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$10.67
$0.67
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
12 shares @ 86.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.47
$0.47
- NO
Will Trump say "Transgender" during events with Xi Jinping?
10 shares @ 98.3¢·now 96.9¢·exp May 15, 2026$9.86
$-0.14
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
13 shares @ 64.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$5.94
$-2.06
- NO
Will Trump say "Mao" during events with Xi Jinping?
5 shares @ 95.6¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$4.84
$-0.16
- NO
Will Trump say "Great Wall" during events with Xi Jinping?
5 shares @ 76.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$4.55
$0.55
- YES
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?
13 shares @ 56.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$4.44
$-2.56
- NO
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on May 16?
6 shares @ 85.0¢·now 73.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$4.29
$-0.71
- NO
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
5 shares @ 63.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$4.21
$1.21
- YES
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on May 16?
10 shares @ 41.5¢·now 33.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$3.23
$-0.77
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$12.16May 14, 20:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?$8.77May 14, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET$5.17May 14, 11:03 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET$21.82May 14, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET$5.02May 14, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET$5.03May 14, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET$5.06May 14, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET$5.06May 14, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET$5.06May 14, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET$5.13May 14, 11:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET$11.18May 14, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET$5.03May 14, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET$5.04May 14, 10:58 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET$21.90May 14, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET$7.82May 14, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET$10.11May 14, 10:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET$11.84May 14, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET$5.02May 14, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET$5.08May 14, 10:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET$11.93May 14, 10:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $4.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 10:06 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 20:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".