Serpentine-Doe
0x01396c8b39e75c2e6829923573d9b01bf0bdecb1
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
40
Open notional
$113.76
Total PnL
$1.9K
Realised
$2.3K
Win rate
78%
36 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?
54 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.6¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$53.99
$0.30
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?
30 shares @ 97.9¢·now 98.7¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$29.61
$0.24
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?
30 shares @ 91.1¢·now 94.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$28.22
$0.89
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in July?
2 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.6¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.51
$0.01
- YES
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 60.6¢·now 17.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.43
$-1.11
- YES
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,300 in May?
260 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-6.93
- GENTLE MATES
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage
223 shares @ 29.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-65.78
- YES
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?
210 shares @ 42.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-89.99
- NO
Will Aaron Rai win the 2026 PGA Championship?
90 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-0.18
- SEATTLE STORM
Seattle Storm vs. Indiana Fever
80 shares @ 52.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-41.68
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?$35.63Jul 30, 03:48 UTC
- REDEEMNew York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox$44.99Jul 30, 03:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?$59.52Jul 30, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox$3.00Jul 30, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox$0.67Jul 30, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox$2.17Jul 30, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox$18.23Jul 30, 02:18 UTC
- TRADESELLCleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds$27.81Jul 30, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox$37.28Jul 30, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox$37.28Jul 30, 02:01 UTC
- TRADESELLCleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds$4.00Jul 30, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox$15.95Jul 30, 02:01 UTC
- TRADESELLCleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds$13.00Jul 30, 02:01 UTC
- TRADESELLNew York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox$33.28Jul 30, 01:55 UTC
- TRADESELLNew York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox$4.75Jul 30, 01:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYCleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds$4.96Jul 30, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYCleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds$33.04Jul 30, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox$36.04Jul 30, 01:50 UTC
- TRADESELLCleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds$33.22Jul 30, 01:49 UTC
- TRADESELLNew York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox$37.56Jul 30, 01:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
72/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
78% win rate over 36 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
36 closed markets, 78% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $24.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 29, 22:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 30, 03:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 36 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.