Honest-Secret
0x014b4dc8a2bca23a6cd011cf9b593a8ed1312030
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$207.71
Total PnL
$-82.37
Realised
$19.53
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
93 shares @ 37.8¢·now 76.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$71.16
$36.16
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
28 shares @ 67.0¢·now 98.2¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$27.75
$8.82
- NO
Aligned FDV above $50M one day after launch?
120 shares @ 40.0¢·now 23.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$27.51
$-20.33
- YES
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
500 shares @ 4.0¢·now 3.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$15.25
$-4.67
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
383 shares @ 9.4¢·now 3.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.95
$-21.08
- YES
Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027?
200 shares @ 5.0¢·now 7.4¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$14.80
$4.80
- YES
Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027?
35 shares @ 16.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$10.32
$4.72
- NO
Aligned FDV above $100M one day after launch?
38 shares @ 79.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$9.99
$-19.79
- YES
Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027?
35 shares @ 13.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$7.87
$3.32
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
20 shares @ 73.6¢·now 35.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.00
$-7.72
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?$9.96Jun 12, 03:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Spurs (-9.5)$8.00Jun 6, 02:30 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spurs (-9.5)$6.28May 31, 01:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?$0.00May 31, 01:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?$0.00May 31, 01:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$0.00May 31, 01:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?$0.00May 31, 01:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $9.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 14:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.