Brisk-Melatonin
0x014e43f125476582b224aac58191bb892d913794
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
33
Open notional
$7.4K
Total PnL
$268.14
Realised
$19.95
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
1274 shares @ 96.3¢·now 97.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.2K
$19.45
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
656 shares @ 83.8¢·now 90.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$593.82
$43.82
- NO
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?
472 shares @ 97.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$472.20
$12.20
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
551 shares @ 72.6¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$426.97
$26.97
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
491 shares @ 81.5¢·now 78.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$385.49
$-14.50
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
399 shares @ 90.3¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$380.62
$20.62
- NO
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
361 shares @ 83.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$319.88
$19.88
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
309 shares @ 97.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 15, 2026$308.81
$8.81
- NO
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
353 shares @ 85.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$298.24
$-1.76
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
298 shares @ 97.3¢·now 99.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$295.57
$5.57
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.10May 17, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election?$100.52May 16, 20:51 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$232.56May 16, 20:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$202.67May 16, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Pratt win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election?$8.04May 16, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romania win Eurovision 2026?$260.33May 16, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romania win Eurovision 2026?$200.28May 16, 20:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 14, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?$212.31May 14, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?$200.72May 13, 16:40 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 13, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$201.12May 12, 13:28 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$133.35May 12, 08:47 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$124.35May 12, 07:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 12, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?$100.06May 11, 16:44 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 11, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$57.87May 10, 21:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $137.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 1, 17:21 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".