0x014fa120bd2a0b6276de4b25dcd2eef64a05d2e1
0x014fa120bd2a0b6276de4b25dcd2eef64a05d2e1
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$93.11
Total PnL
$12.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
119 shares @ 43.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$50.62
$-0.60
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
269 shares @ 3.7¢·now 10.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$26.76
$16.81
- YES
Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?
1427 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.9¢·exp May 16, 2026$12.13
$2.14
- YES
Will Trump say "Farm" or "Farmer" during Chinese State Banquet?
185 shares @ 5.4¢·now 1.9¢·exp May 13, 2026$3.60
$-6.35
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$52.39May 14, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$10.43May 14, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Farm" or "Farmer" during Chinese State Banquet?$10.33May 14, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia win Eurovision 2026?$10.49May 14, 14:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 4
- Avg trade size
- $20.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 14:08 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 14:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".