Lined-Beggar
0x015be8bad14c79d2722a0bd8bbe0cd93b905556d
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
137
Open notional
$30.52
Total PnL
$-88.16
Realised
$0.40
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 137- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
21 shares @ 61.7¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$20.60
$7.62
- YES
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
61 shares @ 52.3¢·now 13.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.94
$-24.05
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
22 shares @ 4.6¢·now 5.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.12
$0.12
- YES
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.85
$-0.15
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on May 2?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on April 29?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on April 30?
87 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 64°F or higher on April 30?
57 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on May 4?
23 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on May 7?
17 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?$9.23Jun 2, 22:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$9.51Jun 2, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYTamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?$2.04May 23, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYTamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?$4.08May 23, 13:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alberta vote for independence in 2026?$5.95May 23, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alberta vote for independence in 2026?$6.00May 22, 15:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$5.96May 22, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYTamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?$2.03May 19, 10:36 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother 7.0 or above earthquake by May 15, 2026?$1.63May 17, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on May 14?$1.02May 14, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on May 14?$1.01May 14, 14:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 9°C on May 13?$1.92May 14, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 9°C on May 13?$1.02May 13, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on May 13?$1.02May 13, 10:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 11?$1.06May 12, 09:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 11?$1.14May 12, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 11?$1.01May 11, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 11?$1.00May 11, 21:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on May 11?$1.08May 11, 21:43 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$1.15May 11, 08:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $2.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 19:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 22:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.