Easy-Dining
0x0182f7c2f7ce49b7b29553a2f87ec891f0a834ea
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$221.11
Total PnL
$-409.44
Realised
$-0.15
Win rate
44%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
63 shares @ 63.9¢·now 76.4¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$47.80
$7.82
- NO
Will Nirav Shah be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?
24 shares @ 90.5¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$24.00
$2.22
- YES
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
69 shares @ 17.8¢·now 22.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$15.61
$3.29
- YES
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
76 shares @ 23.4¢·now 18.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.05
$-3.74
- NO
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
14 shares @ 83.0¢·now 88.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$12.67
$0.73
- NO
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?
12 shares @ 80.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.68
$1.69
- YES
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
14 shares @ 44.0¢·now 79.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$10.76
$4.82
- YES
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
31 shares @ 32.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.46
$0.47
- YES
Kash Patel out by December 31?
26 shares @ 54.7¢·now 35.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.30
$-5.03
- YES
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
13 shares @ 75.9¢·now 70.2¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$9.23
$-0.76
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 24?$3.18Jul 24, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 24?$1.61Jul 23, 22:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$0.16Jul 23, 18:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$0.22Jul 23, 18:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 23?$4.20Jul 23, 16:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 24?$5.22Jul 23, 11:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 25?$1.16Jul 23, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 25?$2.37Jul 23, 11:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 23?$0.00Jul 23, 09:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 23?$0.00Jul 23, 08:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on July 23?$0.02Jul 23, 08:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on July 23?$0.01Jul 23, 08:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on July 23?$0.01Jul 23, 08:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on July 23?$0.01Jul 23, 08:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on July 23?$0.02Jul 23, 08:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on July 23?$0.06Jul 23, 08:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on July 23?$0.02Jul 23, 08:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on July 23?$0.02Jul 23, 08:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on July 23?$0.02Jul 23, 08:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on July 23?$0.02Jul 23, 08:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
47/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
44% win rate over 18 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 36/100.
18 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $0.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 23, 08:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 24, 01:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.