0x01abdcde9199932c18b7b1c02ab85ac0a9c5e190
0x01abdcde9199932c18b7b1c02ab85ac0a9c5e190
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
58
Open notional
$2.86
Total PnL
$-329.04
Realised
$5.12
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 58- NO
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?
7 shares @ 67.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.86
$-1.76
- NO
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs
500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-0.50
- NO
Will Lando Norris win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
250 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Phillies
215 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.13
- NO
Another confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?
200 shares @ 8.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-17.52
- NO
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
111 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.42
- NO
Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
107 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-0.97
- NO
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
71 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-11.43
- NO
James Comey arrested by May 15?
63 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Canada recession before 2027?
53 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.62
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Canada finish second in Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$6.49Jun 18, 22:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$15.52Jun 18, 09:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tunisia be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?$6.49Jun 18, 02:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$13.75Jun 18, 01:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$13.43Jun 17, 23:43 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$15.12Jun 17, 21:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Masoud Pezeshkian sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$0.08Jun 17, 21:55 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$12.51Jun 17, 21:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Curaçao concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$5.95Jun 17, 18:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms?$11.94Jun 17, 08:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Türkiye finish last in Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$8.44Jun 17, 06:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marine Tondelier be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?$4.20Jun 17, 04:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by June 30?$13.23Jun 16, 23:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?$8.88Jun 16, 15:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.74Jun 16, 14:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?$3.12Jun 15, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$9.70Jun 15, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$10.24Jun 15, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tunisia be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?$11.61Jun 15, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$6.00Jun 15, 01:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $8.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 17:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 18, 22:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.