Stingy-Incompetence
0x01aff7ea3b687f87ce8ffdf7d0c36be13e57d6fb
Wallet digest
Activity score
42/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
65
Open notional
$16.69
Total PnL
$-103.03
Realised
$-11.76
Win rate
0%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 65- NO
Will Propr launch a token by June 30, 2027?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$3.03
$2.03
- NO
Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$2.27
$1.27
- NO
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$2.12
$1.12
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
8 shares @ 11.9¢·now 15.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.26
$0.26
- YES
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027?
37 shares @ 2.7¢·now 3.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.26
$0.26
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.18
$0.18
- YES
Tread FDV above $200M one day after launch
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 19.1¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$1.12
$0.12
- YES
Will Oura's market cap be between $7.5B and $10B at market close on IPO day?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.89
$-0.11
- NO
Will Tread launch a token by December 31, 2027?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 9.6¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$0.80
$-0.20
- YES
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.74
$-0.26
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?$1.04Jul 13, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?$1.05Jul 13, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in July?$1.04Jul 13, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 13, 2026?$1.03Jul 13, 03:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 12, 2026?$1.04Jul 12, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $850B by July 31?$1.04Jul 12, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYKash Patel out by July 31?$1.03Jul 11, 01:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $150B by July 31?$1.04Jul 10, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill American Express (AXP) Q2 total revenue net of interest expense be above $20.5B?$1.04Jul 9, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Graham Platner be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?$1.04Jul 9, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $77.5B by July 31?$1.04Jul 9, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027?$1.04Jul 9, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oura's market cap be between $7.5B and $10B at market close on IPO day?$1.03Jul 8, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.04Jul 5, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 77m and 86m?$1.00Jul 2, 09:18 UTC
- REDEEMCongress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?$6.25Jun 23, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$1.00Jun 19, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$1.00Jun 19, 21:52 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$7.16Jun 18, 00:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?$5.00Jun 17, 09:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $1.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 1, 00:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 13, 10:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.