Stimulating-Capitulation
0x01f4c267f80167343fe36759ca4c05f10a9bd22d
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
101
Open notional
$57.03
Total PnL
$-2.9K
Realised
$-3.60
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 101- YES
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?
125 shares @ 8.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$29.38
$19.38
- YES
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?
96 shares @ 20.7¢·now 9.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.68
$-11.32
- YES
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
93 shares @ 10.8¢·now 9.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.56
$-1.44
- YES
Iran Nuke before 2027?
72 shares @ 13.9¢·now 8.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.88
$-4.12
- YES
Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?
85 shares @ 11.8¢·now 4.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.93
$-6.07
- YES
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?
53 shares @ 19.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$0.61
$-9.39
- YES
Will Astronomer CEO Andy Byron sue Coldplay?
7426 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-184.99
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
5000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Saturday?
3333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2025?
1659 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYChina x India military clash by December 31, 2026?$20.00Jan 30, 19:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple release AirTag 2 this year?$96.31Jan 12, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4,400 in December?$10.00Dec 6, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $210 in December?$10.00Dec 6, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?$10.00Dec 6, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a hurricane form by May 31?$50.00Dec 6, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYModi out by December 31, 2026?$10.00Nov 24, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran Nuke before 2027?$10.00Nov 24, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYPakistan strikes Kabul by December 31?$10.00Nov 24, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUSD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?$10.00Nov 24, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Polymarket" by December 31?$10.00Nov 24, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?$10.00Nov 8, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYD4vd arrested by December 31?$10.00Nov 8, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?$1.00Oct 27, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUY100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?$1.00Oct 27, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?$10.00Oct 27, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$1.00Oct 27, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanton FDV above $1B one day after launch?$10.00Oct 27, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon SBF by October 31?$10.00Oct 27, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump meets Xi, Putin, and Kim by December 31?$10.00Oct 27, 07:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $16.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 2, 22:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 30, 19:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.