Immense-Waiter
0x0244f5ccfb01f6a724f8d8a66a0ce02a37d2f1c3
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$2.46
Total PnL
$-37.66
Realised
$-0.12
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
5 shares @ 35.0¢·now 23.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.16
$-0.59
- YES
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
5 shares @ 23.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.63
$-0.53
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
5 shares @ 52.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.53
$-2.08
- YES
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?
10 shares @ 12.0¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.14
$-1.05
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $115k in May?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?
88 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2025?
27 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.60
- YES
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?
25 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
20 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?$1.35Jan 17, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$1.15Jan 15, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?$2.35Jan 15, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell federally charged by June 30?$1.20Jan 15, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 15, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?$1.00Jan 15, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?$1.10Jan 15, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.75Jan 15, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$3.95Jan 15, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?$1.10Jan 15, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?$1.00Jan 15, 06:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump remove Harvard's Intl Student ban before July?$1.25Jan 15, 06:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?$1.28Jan 15, 06:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above $105,000 on July 1?$1.32Jan 15, 06:43 UTC
- REDEEMIran x Israel conflict ends before July?$4.00Jan 15, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$2.60Jan 15, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?$1.20Jan 15, 06:40 UTC
- REDEEMUS military action against Iran before July?$0.00Jun 28, 01:26 UTC
- REDEEMUS military action against Iran before August?$0.00Jun 28, 01:26 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?$0.55Jun 28, 01:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $1.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 30, 19:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 17, 17:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.