Roasted-Protein
0x0245d8bb16511630b2c14eb8e3eef8d1dca5dcca
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$62.93
Total PnL
$-79.10
Realised
$-6.70
Win rate
13%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
70 shares @ 55.2¢·now 73.4¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$51.38
$12.74
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
117 shares @ 6.7¢·now 4.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.16
$-2.66
- NO
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
5 shares @ 66.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.27
$-0.03
- NO
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?
8 shares @ 60.0¢·now 34.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.72
$-2.08
- YES
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?
8 shares @ 15.0¢·now 5.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.40
$-0.75
- YES
Will Kawasaki Frontale win on 2026-06-06?
1200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
220 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-4.62
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
85 shares @ 10.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-8.74
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
50 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.80
- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
45 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-18.90
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$27.00Jul 20, 01:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 20, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.00Jul 15, 00:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 7, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 6, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 3, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
13% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
9 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $9.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 02:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 01:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.