0x025e3abeefa9ab9197d4ada5c5219e68a4218f22
0x025e3abeefa9ab9197d4ada5c5219e68a4218f22
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
60
Open notional
$267.13
Total PnL
$-253.87
Realised
$-80.21
Win rate
11%
27 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 60- NO
Will any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?
46 shares @ 60.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$46.18
$18.38
- YES
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
38 shares @ 17.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$37.54
$30.84
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
27 shares @ 28.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$26.80
$19.08
- NO
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by December 31?
26 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$25.57
$8.69
- NO
Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a woman?
24 shares @ 0.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$23.86
$23.86
- NO
Will Donald Trump not announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before February 2026?
20 shares @ 31.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$19.89
$13.60
- YES
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?
15 shares @ 15.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$15.44
$13.03
- YES
Thailand strikes Cambodia by December 31?
15 shares @ 0.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$15.33
$15.33
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
13 shares @ 0.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 24, 2025$12.83
$12.83
- YES
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?
13 shares @ 82.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$12.77
$2.27
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?$7.45Feb 24, 17:48 UTC
- TRADESELLUS shelter-in-place order lifted in Jalisco by February 28?$9.01Feb 24, 17:47 UTC
- TRADESELLUS shelter-in-place order lifted in Jalisco by February 28?$22.59Feb 24, 17:46 UTC
- TRADESELLUS seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by Feb 28?$4.77Feb 24, 12:28 UTC
- TRADESELLUS seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by Feb 28?$0.39Feb 24, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by Feb 28?$1.59Feb 24, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYForeign intervention in Gaza by June 30?$1.29Feb 24, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYForeign intervention in Gaza by April 30?$2.04Feb 24, 11:58 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump sued over tariff powers again by March 31?$0.12Feb 24, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorth Korea missile launch by February 28?$1.00Feb 24, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS shelter-in-place order lifted in Jalisco by February 28?$4.62Feb 23, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS shelter-in-place order lifted in Jalisco by February 28?$4.62Feb 23, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS shelter-in-place order lifted in Jalisco by February 28?$4.62Feb 23, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS shelter-in-place order lifted in Jalisco by February 28?$9.23Feb 23, 18:26 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine hits Moscow by February 28, 2026?$0.94Feb 23, 12:31 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine hits Moscow by February 28, 2026?$0.13Feb 23, 06:56 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?$5.16Feb 22, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?$2.98Feb 22, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?$3.38Feb 22, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine hits Moscow by February 28, 2026?$1.00Feb 22, 17:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $6.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 22, 02:03 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 24, 17:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 27 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.