Scared-Cardboard
0x031deb0228d9286363a2b7a2690e7a245a0e6570
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$52.2K
Total PnL
$187.56
Realised
$145.62
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
27000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 76.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$20.7K
$7.2K
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
10232 shares @ 94.9¢·now 96.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$9.8K
$109.72
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
7200 shares @ 93.0¢·now 93.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.8K
$60.01
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
27000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 23.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$6.3K
$-7.2K
- NO
Russia coup attempt in 2026?
4888 shares @ 90.4¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.5K
$51.33
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
3100 shares @ 67.4¢·now 58.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$1.8K
$-276.99
- NO
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
1459 shares @ 85.2¢·now 90.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.3K
$70.57
- NO
US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?
607 shares @ 93.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$580.05
$15.19
- NO
Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
400 shares @ 89.5¢·now 92.3¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$369.00
$11.00
- NO
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?
54 shares @ 93.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$50.81
$0.81
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?$2.10Jun 13, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?$21.32Jun 13, 07:36 UTC
- YIELD$2.40Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$2.40Jun 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$2.40Jun 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$2.40Jun 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$2.40Jun 9, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$2.40Jun 8, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia coup attempt in 2026?$498.41Jun 7, 03:11 UTC
- YIELD$2.40Jun 7, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia coup attempt in 2026?$50.56Jun 6, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO dissolves before 2027?$1.61Jun 6, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO dissolves before 2027?$1.43Jun 6, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO dissolves before 2027?$0.08Jun 6, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia coup attempt in 2026?$20.22Jun 6, 12:47 UTC
- YIELD$2.57Jun 6, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia coup attempt in 2026?$67.80Jun 5, 14:15 UTC
- MERGEWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$3.0KJun 5, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia coup attempt in 2026?$14.83Jun 5, 13:22 UTC
- YIELD$2.67Jun 5, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $73.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 31, 18:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 12:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.