Diligent-Loss
0x0327530c9b02e72bcaf1df09bece3100d6b75e15
Wallet digest
Activity score
31/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
25
Open notional
$0.17
Total PnL
$-96.84
Realised
$-35.68
Win rate
0%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
Will Belete Molla be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
31 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.17
$-0.14
- YES
Labour leadership election scheduled by May 31?
240 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.21
- YES
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $320 in June?
150 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.50
- YES
Will another candidate win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election?
53 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.65
- YES
Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?
50 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 9, 2026?
20 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.60
- YES
Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by May 31?
20 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.60
- YES
Will Paul Salomone be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election?
20 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 16, 2026?
20 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.20
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
16 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.94
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-09? AND Will United States win on 2026-07-06? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-06? AND Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?$2.99Jul 6, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-07? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? AND Will France win on 2026-07-04? AND Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05? AND Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?$4.99Jul 4, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-07-06? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? AND Will Norway win on 2026-07-05? AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-06? AND Will France win on 2026-07-04? AND Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05? AND Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?$5.99Jul 4, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-07? AND Will France win on 2026-07-04? AND Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04? AND Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05? AND Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?$5.00Jul 4, 12:40 UTC
- REDEEMRomanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?$0.26Jul 4, 10:51 UTC
- REDEEMFDA approves Arcutis' Zoryve cream?$20.00Jul 4, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYFDA approves Arcutis' Zoryve cream?$13.40Jun 9, 00:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $320 in June?$4.21Jun 7, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $320 in June?$0.29Jun 6, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYFDA approves Arcutis' Zoryve cream?$6.40Jun 5, 12:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?$0.11Jun 5, 11:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump dance on May 17, 2026?$0.22Jun 5, 11:10 UTC
- REDEEMRomanian PM Bolojan out by May 31?$0.29Jun 5, 11:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?$0.36Jun 5, 11:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump announce the release of detained Americans?$0.81Jun 5, 11:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?$1.00Jun 5, 11:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?$1.00Jun 5, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYLabour leadership election scheduled by May 31?$0.68May 24, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYLabour leadership election scheduled by May 31?$0.80May 24, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYLabour leadership election scheduled by May 31?$0.40May 24, 13:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
17/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $5.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 10:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 6, 07:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.