Rigid-Breakthrough
0x033dc6e3e3e0a3ae55402576990392ae910aaf05
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$5.1K
Total PnL
$-5.3K
Realised
$648.40
Win rate
43%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
36713 shares @ 5.4¢·now 8.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.1K
$1.1K
- YES
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
1206 shares @ 72.7¢·now 81.0¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$977.00
$99.68
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
12516 shares @ 4.3¢·now 4.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$607.04
$74.90
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
2575 shares @ 13.1¢·now 12.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$325.74
$-11.30
- YES
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
3 shares @ 87.0¢·now 96.7¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$3.15
$0.32
- NO
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.26
$0.82
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1 shares @ 55.5¢·now 43.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.43
$-0.13
- YES
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
5184 shares @ 40.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.1K
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
2455 shares @ 96.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.4K
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
2000 shares @ 83.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.7K
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.36Jul 30, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.37Jul 29, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.37Jul 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.36Jul 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.34Jul 26, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.32Jul 25, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.32Jul 24, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.32Jul 23, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.31Jul 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.31Jul 21, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.31Jul 20, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.31Jul 19, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.31Jul 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.31Jul 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.31Jul 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.32Jul 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.32Jul 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.32Jul 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.30Jul 12, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.32Jul 11, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
43% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 2
- Avg trade size
- $355.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 23, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 30, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.