Tough-Garter
0x03c8118da338a9dafb2bae9a4e89055203a30e01
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$4.6K
Total PnL
$-129.64
Realised
$41.51
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
3500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 77.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.7K
$943.25
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
3500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 23.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$806.75
$-943.25
- YES
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?
2500 shares @ 5.7¢·now 9.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$238.75
$96.25
- YES
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
2000 shares @ 15.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$190.00
$-110.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
51813 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$181.35
$-47.77
- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
1000 shares @ 20.0¢·now 18.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$180.00
$-20.00
- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
1500 shares @ 10.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$142.50
$-7.50
- YES
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
300 shares @ 40.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$136.50
$16.50
- YES
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?
374 shares @ 9.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$39.25
$5.61
- YES
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by June 30?
30 shares @ 20.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$30.00
$24.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.31Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$2.05Jun 13, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$0.06Jun 13, 04:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$0.06Jun 13, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$0.09Jun 13, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$0.05Jun 13, 03:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US capture another world leader in 2026?$2.70Jun 13, 00:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.32Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$0.12Jun 12, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$2.00Jun 12, 01:29 UTC
- MERGEWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$500.00Jun 12, 01:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.36Jun 12, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$1.03Jun 12, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$0.02Jun 11, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$29.51Jun 11, 07:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.43Jun 11, 00:16 UTC
- REWARD$1.09Jun 11, 00:00 UTC
- MERGEWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.0KJun 10, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$0.09Jun 10, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$1.39Jun 10, 08:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $18.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 7, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.