Tough-Garter
0x03c8118da338a9dafb2bae9a4e89055203a30e01
Quality score
89/100
Open positions
14
Open notional
$3.8K
Total PnL
$-67.49
Realised
$82.27
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.0K
$736.25
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2500 shares @ 50.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$513.75
$-736.25
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
2500 shares @ 16.2¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$512.50
$106.25
- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
1500 shares @ 10.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$247.50
$97.50
- YES
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
2000 shares @ 15.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$190.00
$-110.00
- YES
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
323 shares @ 40.0¢·now 41.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$132.47
$3.23
- YES
Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?
105 shares @ 84.7¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$81.45
$-7.55
- YES
Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
20000 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$50.00
$-68.36
- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
500 shares @ 22.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$47.50
$-62.50
- YES
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?
126 shares @ 65.8¢·now 36.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$45.46
$-37.64
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.1715h ago
- YIELD$0.192d ago
- YIELD$0.193d ago
- YIELD$0.174d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?$10.004d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$4.604d ago
- YIELD$0.175d ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?$100.005d ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?$189.005d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?$412.505d ago
- YIELD$0.186d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?$89.556d ago
- YIELD$0.227d ago
- REDEEMWill Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 29, 2026?$0.007d ago
- YIELD$0.168d ago
- TRADESELLWill Claude Opus 4.7 by Anthropic debut at a score of at least 1500?$26.418d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Opus 4.7 by Anthropic debut at a score of at least 1500?$50.008d ago
- YIELD$0.199d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$0.1410d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$0.1010d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $22.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 10d ago
- Last active
- 15h ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.